Limit Up!

Limit Up! 3 October 2025

Written by Ian Reynolds | Oct 3, 2025 12:56:35 AM

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Overnight

Economic Indicators Released Overnight

With Initial Jobless Claims and Nonfarm Payroll removed, traders didn't know what to do so they didn't do anything. Retail helped stock markets by the close and non-sovereign assets were yet again, the flavour of the day.

In Australia:

  • Exports Decline: Total goods exports dropped 7.8% MoM to approximately A$43.5 billion (estimated), with notable weakness in iron ore (-12% due to lower volumes and prices), coal (-5%), and natural gas (-3%). Key markets like China and Japan saw reduced shipments amid global economic slowdown concerns.
  • Imports Rise: Goods imports increased 2.6% to around A$41.7 billion, fueled by higher capital goods (machinery up 4%) and consumer goods (electronics up 3%), reflecting domestic demand recovery post-rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia.
  • Services Trade: Not reported monthly; quarterly data from June 2025 showed a services surplus of A$5.2 billion, contributing to the overall goods-and-services balance.

Wall Street closes with records as tech support offsets labor, shutdown uncertainties [Reuters]

US Equities

Breaking

Israeli military stops nearly all boats in aid flotilla, sparking global protests [Reuters]

Bitcoin

Price structure is now not negative, it’s neutral. Only a new all time high close above 123.3k pushes structure into positive territory. Read more

BITCOIN/USD Daily

Commodities

Looks like we’re going to confirm below support but oil being a very fickle market, expect a retrace to the scene of the crime at $66.15. Read more

SPOT BRENT Daily

Foreign Exchange

With DXY stable to negative in the last week, USD/CAD has been pushing higher. Stagnant economy in Canada (certain) and strong economy in US (questionable) is driving the Loonie lower. Read more

USD/CAD Daily

Equities

Back in the wedge for the final time. Yesterday’s close suggests upside pressure may prevail. Looking for a strong impulse to end the week, leading to a 5% gain at around 24,000 in the coming weeks. Read more

NASDAQ COMPOSITE Daily

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