Limit Up! 21st May 2025

Podcasts | Daily LinkedIn | Weekly LinkedIn | Check out the website


Overnight

Economic Indicators Released Overnight

Economic Indicators Released Overnight

Rate cuts in China and Australia weren't a great surprise with RBA discussing 50bps possibility. The RBA is miles behind the curve and bond yields are showing this. PPI deflation in Germany but higher CPI in Canada reflects a very mixed global economy. Thanks Mr T.

Not much data today, so all eyes on the US 20 year bond auction.

Jamie Dimon's comments didn't help equities, where we had the first down day for a long time.

US Equities

US Equities


Breaking

China cuts key rates to aid economy as trade war simmers [Reuters] 

As US yields hit recent highs, a number of other bond markets are suffering, especially JGBs. With a quarter of negative GDP and the highest debt to gdp ratio in the western world, something might be about to break. Also look at Canada and Australia, despite yesterday's rate hike.

Japan 30 Year Government Bond Yield Daily 

Japan 30 Year Government Bond Yield Daily 


Commodities

Gold looking perky as we look to retest the all time high in the next few weeks. This still could be a bear flag but confirming above 3,265 should negate that.

GOLD / USD Daily

GOLD / USD Daily


Bitcoin

Bitcoin charging for the all time highs again. The negative news in the last few days has suppressed the price action so look for an explosive leap when the pressure is off. However divergence is beginning on the RSI.

BITCOIN / USD Daily

BITCOIN / USD Daily


Foreign Exchange

The USD can't get a bid and seems to be sliding towards support on the DXY at around 96.00. Let's see if it confirms lower. If it does break lower, expect US 10 year yields higher and that's US a banana republic!

DXY Daily

DXY Daily


Equities

NASDAQ overbought and momentum running out.

NASDAQ Daily

NASDAQ Daily


Interesting


Economic Indicators Today

Economic Indicators Today