Limit Up!

T-DAY Is Here

Written by Ian Reynolds | Jan 18, 2025 7:18:14 AM

For capital markets commentary during the week:  Limit Up! Daily Updates

Breaking

Chinese Hackers Accessed Yellen's Computer in US Treasury Breach [Bloomberg]

Trump

The worlds' fortunes seemingly revolve around just one man. However we got here, all market participants realise that this week is critical for the future of western economies and governments.

Inauguration Day is a US holiday anyway, Martin Luther King Day so this makes for even more volatility especially for Bitcoin being the only liquid market open.

With a promise of 100 executive orders to be signed, it'll be difficult knowing where to start.

Especially with the last treasonous action from Janet Yellen:

Yellen says Treasury will use 'extraordinary measures' on Jan. 21 to prevent hitting debt ceiling [Washington Post]

Let's look at the state of play western economies and markets rather than try to predict the next few days price action.

It's all looking very precipitous.

US

US bond yields are driving markets currently and at the close of play on Friday there is an omminous hammer candle.

US 10 Year Government Bond Yield Daily

The USD is still the wrecking ball and its following the UST10 tick for tick

The DXY (USD Futures) saved itself at the close on Friday

DXY Daily 

China

Look at all those red candles in the 10 year China yield. Even when markets have opened higher.

China 10 Year Government Bond Yield

Is China’s GDP Growth Only 2%? Donald Trump Might Want To Find Out [Forbes]

China's new home prices stabilise with stimulus push [Reuters]

Europe

Friday's EU CPI showed stubborn inflation but the market is pricing in more rate cuts nonetheless.

EU CPI December 2024

The Euro continues downward...

EURO / USD Daily

Japan

Yen stronger than most on the back of Friday's Bank of Japan meeting

USD / YEN Daily

Bitcoin (& Crypto)

Bitcoin is flawless technical analysis currently as it breaks, but has not confirmed yet, above the right shoulder.

Bitcoin / USD Daily

Senator Lummis Warns FDIC Against Destroying Crypto Documents [Bloomberg]

Canada

New lows for the Loonie

USD / CAD Daily

United Kingdom

UK retail sales Friday were a sea of red.

UK Retail Sales December 2024

And Cable was certainly reflecting this sentiment.

GBP / USD Daily

Australia

Aussie has had a bounce but only momentarily

AUD / USD Daily

What's Next ?

Who knows but the charts will need updating.

This Week's Important Economic Indicators [London time]