Limit Up!

Markets U-Turn: USD Craters

Written by Ian Reynolds | Jul 15, 2023 10:58:00 PM

This time last week interest rates had backed up agressively thanks to stunning ADP Payroll report and stubborn inflation-fighting FED comments.

Roll forward to today and interest rates and currencies have U-Turned resulting in USD breaking support against many currencies.

DXY broke triple bottom support at 100.50+

DXY Daily

USD / CHF in freefall

USD / CHF Daily

Cable too

GBP / USD Daily

Money Vs CPI

Thanks to Mohamed El-Erian quoting Financial Times

China | EU | US | Japan: M2 CPI

Currently China has almost zero CPI and is increasing money supply whilst US, EU, Japan and UK have high CPI and are decreasing money supply.

In Case You Missed It

Reverse Repo

Daily Reverse Repo Amounts

FED Reverse Repo drops 10% from high as cash flow into buoyant stocks, crypto etc

US CPI and PPI

US CPI (June 2023)

Headline CPI prints low, core not so much but remember the large increases a year ago are dropping off

U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM
U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) MoM

PPI was weak too

US PPI (June 2023)

Australia

Treasurer Chalmers announces a new RBA Governor

The ‘outside insider’ tasked with forging a new RBA [AFR]

China’s Consumer Price Y0Y fell from 0.2% to 0% YoY and the Producer Price Index (PPI) deeper into negative territory at -5.4%.

China PPI, CPI June 2023

Along with a near 50% drop in the price of Iron Ore in the last 2 years, China's economic collapse is bad news for the Australian economy.

Iron ore fines 62% Fe CFR Futures - (TIOc1) Monthly

This Week's Economic Indicators [London time]

Econimic Indicators Week Commencing 17 July 2023