Ian Reynolds
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Overnight
Japan Industrial Production February 2025
Stronger than expected Japan industrial production couldn't help dampen the extreme fear in stock markets as the NIKKEI gaps down 3.5%+ , ASX -1.7% and even Hang Seng -1%.
Adding to the nightmare
- Trump Warned U.S. Automakers Not to Raise Prices in Response to Tariffs [Wall St Journal]
- The Daily Mail explores how Trump could technically be President for a further two terms(!), using a loophole Einsenhower considered. Welcome to 2025; [Daily Mail]
- Greenland
- Venezuela
- Pretty much everything up in the air
Breaking
Bitcoin
Trying to weather the equities storm
BITCOIN / USD Daily
Japan to ban insider trading using cryptocurrencies [Nikkei]
Commodities
This is a 15 minute chart (could be important directionally) Gold made a new high but is now lower even with US futures, Nikkei etc lower as is USD and bond yields i.e should be higher but isn't.
GOLD / USD 15 Minutes
Equities
Lower across the board. The VIX can go a lot higher in a crisis
US Equity Futures
Bonds
Yields lower overnight but not the flight to quality we might expect. More like FED more likely to stimulate if stocks really crash.
US 10 Year Government Bond Yield Daily
Foreign Exchange
Dollar lower and looks to be confirming below the bear flag lower boundary (wait until it does confirm)
DXY Daily
Interesting
RBA monetary policy meeting tomorrow
RBA Set to Hold Rate as Tight Election, Trump Tariffs Fuel Risks [Bloomberg]
Regulators Flag Serious Compliance Issues at Australian Exchange [Bloomberg]
Italy’s Meloni offers to ‘bridge’ deepening US-Europe divide [Semafor]
Economic Indicators Today
