Limit Up! 28th July 2025
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Overnight
Economic Indicators Released Overnight
Things still not looking good in China, and finally a trade deal with EU.
US-EU Trade Agreement
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The U.S. will impose a 15% tariff on most EU goods entering the United States—a significant reduction from the previously threatened 30% tariff set to take effect on August 1.
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A zero-for-zero tariff approach applies to select items such as aircraft components, pharmaceuticals (generic), semiconductors, many chemicals, agricultural goods, and critical raw materials.
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Tariffs on EU steel and aluminium remain at 50%, though later this may shift to quota-based restrictions.
EU Commitments
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EU pledges to purchase $750 billion in U.S. energy—notably LNG—over three years.
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Additional $600 billion in EU investment committed to U.S. markets and infrastructure.
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EU will buy U.S. military equipment (quantity unspecified), and consider sourcing U.S. nuclear fuel.
Context & Timing
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The deal was clinched during a meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen at Trump’s Turnberry golf resort in Scotland. Trump called it “the biggest deal ever made.”
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Negotiators moved quickly to avoid the deadline of August 1, after which steep tariffs were set to trigger a full-scale trade war.
Breaking
US and EU reach tariff agreement to avert trade war [FT]
Key elements of EU-U.S. trade deal agreed on Sunday [Reuters]
Bitcoin
BTC breaks higher, needs to close and confirm above previous all time high at 123,200k to convert shooting star to bull flag.
Commodities
Gold bouncing this morning. but $3,300 looks on the cards before we can try higher.
Foreign Exchange
USD/YEN looks to have regained the channel with inflation less of an issue. 160 would be a reasonable target for mid channel correction.
Equities
Tesla bounced on Friday but needs to confirm above $325 for a bounce to $420.
TESLA Daily