Limit Up! 1st July 2025
Overnight
Economic Indicators Released Overnight
ECB can keep cutting rates with lower CPI and retail sales. They don't have to worry about EUR/USD as markets awash with USD weakness chatter.
Chicago PMI seems ominous.
Is Modern Monetary Theory back? All talk of Powell being replaced, much lower rates and higher debt ceiling.
All that doesn't make 10 year yields lower as Trump/Bessent crave.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is speaking today—July 1, 2025—at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal, where he's participating in a high‑level panel alongside other top central-bank officials
Equities cautiously positive but Bitcoin lower tells me the melt up isn't here yet.
US Equities
Breaking
Bessent talks Fed succession options as Trump sends note to Powell [Yahoo! Finance]
Bitcoin
BTC needs to close above that support line for momentum to continue otherwise we'll be back at 94k.
Commodities
Nice bounce in Gold as Silver treads water.
Foreign Exchange
DXY bang on support as chatter strengthens. Currency pairs are undecided.
Bonds
Yields on 10 year now slightly lower than 4 year support.
US 10 Year Government Bond Yield Daily
Equities
NASDAQ needs to confirm above the all time high for a push into new territory.