Limit Up! 19th May 2025

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Overnight

All eyes on US and how markets cope with the Moody's downgrade.

Stock futures are off a bit, Gold and BTC are rallying. USD slightly lower and US yields slightly higher. 

So, thus far, a muted reaction. 

EU CPI and Chinese retail sales, industrial production may be more interesting as they're April's numbers.

US equity futures

US Equity Futures


Breaking

Treasure secretary calls Moody's a 'lagging indicator' after U.S. credit downgrade [NBC]


Bonds

Despite the treasury buybacks & FED buying auctions, we've put in the inverse heads and shoulders, target around 5.25% but confirmation above break of neckline needed.

US 10 Year Government Bond Yield Daily

US 10 Year Government Bond Yield Daily


Commodities

Beginning to look like a retest of the scene of the crime for Gold.

gold

GOLD / USD Daily


Bitcoin

Bitcoin above 105k but lack lustre. For those expecting a test of the all time high over the weekend, the price action was decidedly dull.

BITCOIN / USD Daily

BITCOIN / USD Daily


Foreign Exchange

USD, through the DXY, not doing much either here. Channel suggests a bear flag with a test of support at 96.00 if the channel breaks. 

DXY Daily

DXY Daily


Equities

On the basis that "the market can stay irrational, longer than you can stay solvent", there must be a lot of shorts out there about to fold. 

NASDAQ Daily

NASDAQ Daily


Economic Indicators Today

Economic Indicators Today