Limit Up!

Limit Up! 17th April 2025

Written by Ian Reynolds | Apr 17, 2025 1:12:39 AM

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Overnight

China GDP Q1 2025

The much disbelieved GDP suggests an OK economy but then again it always does.

UK CPI March 2025

Less than expected CPI, slightly less, great for UK. A sharper drop would be more worrying.

US Retail Sales March 2025

Retail confirming Powell's stance on the economy. 

Bank of Canada holds with the governor assuming a long lasting trade war [YouTube]

Equities closed lower with NVIDIA gapping down as Administration looks to control exports of chips through licensing. Otherwise back to going lower until something happens.

US Equities


Nothing new from Powell at Economic Club Of Chicago

Economy

  • Growth has slowed
  • Sharp decline in consumer sentiment
  • Slowing but positive growth
  • Job growth has slowed and unemployment low but stable
  • Wage growth moderating
  • No inflationary pressure

New administration

  • Unknown influence on economy
  • Tariffs greater than expected
  • Inflation expectations have moved up

No mention of hedge fund bailouts which some "experts" were predicting.

Tariffs will hit US economy and raise prices, Fed boss warns [BBC]

Breaking

Equities

Definitely the chart of the day. Tesla has lots of engaged sellers and lots of engaged buyers meaning volatility and great price action. At the moment the big move down is consolidating in a bear flag with resistance at the uptrend line where sellers should sell (285.00). Long term support from right back from when price was 20.00, is at 165.00. Below 165.00 is going to be very messy.

TESLA / USD Daily

Bitcoin

BTC hanging in there despite the NASDAQ drawdown. Tagged the downtrend support but still needs to confirm. Maybe Easter is it's opportunity when the tradfi markets are closed.

BITCOIN / USD Daily

Commodities

Gold actually parabolic now. I've been reluctant to draw the 3rd parallel in as it's immature but there it is.

GOLD / USD Daily

Foreign Exchange

USD / CAD retraces back to where it broke out 6 months ago. And we haven't heard about tariffs on Canada for ages now (days)

USD / CAD Daily

Interesting

Investors are most bearish in 30 years, BofA survey finds [investing.com]

Boeing shares fall on report that China has halted its deliveries as part of trade war [CNN] 

Economic Indicators Today