Limit Up!

Limit Up! 13th March 2025

Written by Ian Reynolds | Mar 13, 2025 12:56:20 AM

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Overnight

Economic Indicators Released Overnight

US CPI surprises to the downside and Canada cuts rates again.

CPI lower but 10 year yields went up and the USD lower. Totally agree that they were small moves but this is what Bessent is talking about. FED cutting short end drives long rates up as the market has lost faith in the FED's ability to control inflation, amongst other things. So Bessent needs to drive that 10 year yield through the floor by slashing government spending and reducing deficits. What he's telling us is that this is the only option left

Meanwhile north of the border, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem announces yet another rate cut but further cuts are not certain.

 He talked about ;
  • Continuously changing US tariff threats
  • Inflation is near target 2%
  • Tariffs inflationary
  • Further cuts not certain
  • Inflation is expected to tick up to 2.5% in March

 

Australis is outraged that Trump is using tariffs on them. But backed out of reciprocal tariffs.

Breaking

Greenland's independence gradualists win election amid Trump control pledge [Reuters]

BOJ’s Ueda comfortable with soaring JGB yields as rate hike bets grow [investing.com]

EU and Canada retaliate after Donald Trump’s metals tariffs take effect [FT]

Trade, defence shocks risk amplifying euro zone inflation, Lagarde warns [Reuters]

Bitcoin

The downward momentum seems to have stopped for now, but it'll still be difficult to go up if equities move lower.

BITCOIN / USD Daily

Precious Metals

Gold breaks out of it's bull flag and looks to retest the all time highs. What happened to the Fort Knox audit?

GOLD / USD Daily

Silver now confirms break up and looks to test the 34.80 high from October which might well coincide with the top of the uptrend channel.

SILVER / USD Daily

Bonds

Trouble ahead as BoC cuts but 10 year yields spike.

Canada 10 Year Bond Yield Daily

Foreign Exchange

Quiet out of the UK this week but cable continues an amazing run, aided by a weaker USD of course, but a clear break in the (negative) sentiment.

GBP / USD Daily

Equities

US stocks were higher on the CPI data but gave back some of the gains at the close.

World Equities

Economic Indicators Today